Weather Advisory for November 2025
The Kenya Meteorological Department (KMD) has released warnings affecting six sectors due to anticipated weather changes in November 2025. The forecast predicts above-average rainfall for regions such as the Lake Victoria Basin, the Highlands West of the Rift Valley, and parts of the Central and South Rift Valley. In contrast, the Highlands East of the Rift Valley, including Nairobi, as well as the Southeastern lowlands, the Coast, and the Northeastern areas, are expected to experience reduced rainfall. Overall, temperatures across the country are anticipated to be warmer than normal. “To support the Government’s goals for a climate-resilient future, KMD urges all citizens and stakeholders to use this climate information and advisories for effective planning and decision-making,” stated a portion of the advisory.
Six Sectors Anticipating Impact from Climate Forecast
In the sphere of Disaster Management, individuals residing in flood-prone and elevated regions are advised to stay alert due to the risk of localized flooding, landslides, and lightning, particularly in Kisii, Kisumu, and Narok counties. The public is warned against traversing flooded areas and is advised to refrain from taking shelter under trees or near metal structures during storms.
Regarding Water Resources, the department indicates that the eastern and coastal regions may face low rainfall levels, potentially leading to insufficient water supply. Residents in these areas are encouraged to harvest and conserve rainwater, utilize water efficiently, and prepare for possible shortages.
In the Agricultural sector, while western Kenya is expected to enjoy adequate soil moisture conducive to crop growth, excessive rainfall may hinder harvesting activities. Conversely, the central, eastern, and coastal regions might experience subpar crop yields due to inconsistent rainfall. Farmers are recommended to implement water-saving strategies, cultivate drought-resistant crops, and adopt methods to retain soil moisture.
Environmental and Health Implications of Rainy Season
The Environment and Forestry sector stands to gain from favorable soil moisture conditions in the Lake Basin, Highlands West, and Central Rift Valley, which will support tree planting initiatives. In the Health sector, increased rainfall could lead to stagnant water, raising the risk of malaria and other vector-borne illnesses. Meanwhile, dry and dusty conditions in certain areas may contribute to a rise in respiratory infections. Citizens are encouraged to eliminate stagnant water, utilize mosquito nets while sleeping, and seek immediate medical attention if they feel unwell.
Finally, in the Transport and Infrastructure sector, the potential for slippery roads, flash floods, and decreased visibility could affect travel and logistics. Motorists and pedestrians are advised to exercise caution, avoid flooded routes, and prepare for potential delays during heavy rainfall.
November Weather Forecast Summary
Counties in the Lake Victoria Basin, the Highlands West of the Rift Valley, and the Central and South Rift Valley are expected to experience near-average to above-average rainfall. However, below-average rainfall is projected for the Highlands East of the Rift Valley (including Nairobi), the Southeastern lowlands, the Coastal region, and most areas in the Northeast. Rainfall is expected to be unevenly distributed, with several areas experiencing intermittent dry spells. The department further highlights that temperatures will likely remain warmer than usual across the nation. There is a risk of localized flooding in the western regions and extended dry spells in the eastern areas. Counties in the Highlands West and East of the Rift Valley and the Lake Basin are advised to exercise caution, as moderate rainfall on already saturated soils could heighten the risk of flooding and landslides.
